"Manipulation!" — It's How Markets Have Always Worked
Mihai_Iacob

مشخصات معامله
قیمت در زمان انتشار:
۶۴,۶۶۳
توضیحات
Spend just five minutes on social media after an unexpected market move and you'll find the same conclusion everywhere:
"It's manipulation!"
- Gold falls despite geopolitical tensions.
- Bitcoin drops after bullish news.
- Your stop loss gets hit before price reverses.
Manipulation, Manipulation, Manipulation...
And this might surprise you...
I actually agree.
The market is manipulated.
The difference is that most traders only notice it when the manipulation works against them.
The reality is much simpler.
- Markets are influenced every single day.
- Not occasionally.
- Not during major news events.
- Every single trading session.
- Every single hour
Think about how financial markets actually work.
- Michael Saylor goes on CNBC and talks about Bitcoin reaching $1 million while Strategy owns hundreds of thousands of Bitcoin.
- Elon Musk posts a tweet or changes his profile picture with a "dog", and billions of dollars can appear or disappear within hours.
- Investment banks publish bullish price targets.
- Rating agencies upgrade or downgrade companies.
- CEOs carefully choose every word during earnings calls.
- Central bankers spend weeks preparing speeches because a single sentence can move currencies, bonds and equities across the globe.
- Financial media decides which stories dominate tomorrow's headlines.
- Influencers promote projects they already own.
Everyone is trying to influence expectations.
Because expectations move money.
And money moves prices.
Call it marketing.
Call it communication.
Call it persuasion.
OR, SIMPLY, CALL IT MANIPULATION!.
The label doesn't really change what is happening.
History is full of examples...
In 1992, George Soros famously bet against the British Pound.
He didn't quietly build a position and hope nobody noticed.
The trade became public.
The narrative spread.
Confidence in the Pound weakened.
Selling accelerated.
Eventually, the Bank of England was forced to abandon its defense of the currency on what became known as Black Wednesday.
Whether you see Soros as a brilliant trader or a market manipulator depends largely on where you stood.
But one thing is undeniable:
He understood that markets are driven as much by perception as by economics.
Almost thirty years later, GameStop showed exactly the same principle from the opposite direction.
This time it wasn't a billionaire.
It was millions of retail traders.
The objective wasn't simply to buy a stock.
It was to force hedge funds into a massive short squeeze.
Buy.
Hold.
Don't sell.
The goal was clear.
- Influence price.
- Create panic.
- Force the other side to react.
It became one of the most celebrated events in modern market history.
Funny enough...
Very few people called it manipulation.
Because retail was winning.
The Double Standard
This is where psychology enters the picture.
Retail traders don't actually hate manipulation:)
They hate losing.
When Elon Musk tweets something that sends Bitcoin or Dogecoin higher, millions celebrate his vision.
When Michael Saylor publicly encourages companies to accumulate Bitcoin while Strategy continues buying, Bitcoin investors call him a genius.
When an investment bank raises the target price on a stock you already own, you happily share the report.
When a rating agency upgrades your favorite company, you accept the opinion without asking too many questions.
Nobody complains.
Because the narrative supports YOUR position.
Now flip the story.
The same analyst downgrades the stock.
The same billionaire expresses a bearish opinion.
The same media outlet publishes negative headlines.
The market falls.
Suddenly everything becomes manipulation.
What changed?
Not the market.
Your position.
This is one of the strongest psychological biases traders face.
We naturally accept information that confirms our beliefs and reject information that challenges them.
Psychologists call it confirmation bias.
Markets expose it every single day.
Most traders are not looking for the truth.
They're looking for reassurance that their trade was right.
And when price proves otherwise, "manipulation" becomes the easiest explanation.
So... What Do We Do?
Nothing.
At least, nothing emotional.
- Complaining won't stop billionaires from giving BIASED interviews.
- It won't stop investment banks from publishing research (as they see fit).
- It won't stop rating agencies from issuing upgrades.
- It won't stop central banks from carefully managing expectations.
- It won't stop governments from announcing stimulus packages.
- It won't stop financial media from shaping narratives.
- And it certainly won't stop large institutions from trying to move markets in their favor.
Because that's exactly what every participant is trying to do.
The only difference is scale.
- Some have a YouTube channel.
- Some have millions of followers on X.
- Some have CNBC to go to.
- Some have Bloomberg.
- Some have central banks.
- Some have hundreds of billions of dollars.
You have your trading account.
Instead of asking whether the market is manipulated, ask a much better question:
Who is winning the battle to influence price today?
Because that's all the market really is.
A constant battle between competing narratives, competing capital and competing interests.
The market isn't fair
It never was.
So the next time your stop loss gets hit, don't immediately scream:
"Manipulation!"
Take a step back.
Accept that markets are constantly being influenced.
Then ask yourself the only question that can actually improve your trading:
"Which side has the stronger manipulation today... the buyers or the sellers?"
Because once you stop fighting the existence of manipulation and start understanding its direction , you stop behaving like a victim...
...and start thinking like a trader.
"It's manipulation!"
- Gold falls despite geopolitical tensions.
- Bitcoin drops after bullish news.
- Your stop loss gets hit before price reverses.
Manipulation, Manipulation, Manipulation...
And this might surprise you...
I actually agree.
The market is manipulated.
The difference is that most traders only notice it when the manipulation works against them.
The reality is much simpler.
- Markets are influenced every single day.
- Not occasionally.
- Not during major news events.
- Every single trading session.
- Every single hour
Think about how financial markets actually work.
- Michael Saylor goes on CNBC and talks about Bitcoin reaching $1 million while Strategy owns hundreds of thousands of Bitcoin.
- Elon Musk posts a tweet or changes his profile picture with a "dog", and billions of dollars can appear or disappear within hours.
- Investment banks publish bullish price targets.
- Rating agencies upgrade or downgrade companies.
- CEOs carefully choose every word during earnings calls.
- Central bankers spend weeks preparing speeches because a single sentence can move currencies, bonds and equities across the globe.
- Financial media decides which stories dominate tomorrow's headlines.
- Influencers promote projects they already own.
Everyone is trying to influence expectations.
Because expectations move money.
And money moves prices.
Call it marketing.
Call it communication.
Call it persuasion.
OR, SIMPLY, CALL IT MANIPULATION!.
The label doesn't really change what is happening.
History is full of examples...
In 1992, George Soros famously bet against the British Pound.
He didn't quietly build a position and hope nobody noticed.
The trade became public.
The narrative spread.
Confidence in the Pound weakened.
Selling accelerated.
Eventually, the Bank of England was forced to abandon its defense of the currency on what became known as Black Wednesday.
Whether you see Soros as a brilliant trader or a market manipulator depends largely on where you stood.
But one thing is undeniable:
He understood that markets are driven as much by perception as by economics.
Almost thirty years later, GameStop showed exactly the same principle from the opposite direction.
This time it wasn't a billionaire.
It was millions of retail traders.
The objective wasn't simply to buy a stock.
It was to force hedge funds into a massive short squeeze.
Buy.
Hold.
Don't sell.
The goal was clear.
- Influence price.
- Create panic.
- Force the other side to react.
It became one of the most celebrated events in modern market history.
Funny enough...
Very few people called it manipulation.
Because retail was winning.
The Double Standard
This is where psychology enters the picture.
Retail traders don't actually hate manipulation:)
They hate losing.
When Elon Musk tweets something that sends Bitcoin or Dogecoin higher, millions celebrate his vision.
When Michael Saylor publicly encourages companies to accumulate Bitcoin while Strategy continues buying, Bitcoin investors call him a genius.
When an investment bank raises the target price on a stock you already own, you happily share the report.
When a rating agency upgrades your favorite company, you accept the opinion without asking too many questions.
Nobody complains.
Because the narrative supports YOUR position.
Now flip the story.
The same analyst downgrades the stock.
The same billionaire expresses a bearish opinion.
The same media outlet publishes negative headlines.
The market falls.
Suddenly everything becomes manipulation.
What changed?
Not the market.
Your position.
This is one of the strongest psychological biases traders face.
We naturally accept information that confirms our beliefs and reject information that challenges them.
Psychologists call it confirmation bias.
Markets expose it every single day.
Most traders are not looking for the truth.
They're looking for reassurance that their trade was right.
And when price proves otherwise, "manipulation" becomes the easiest explanation.
So... What Do We Do?
Nothing.
At least, nothing emotional.
- Complaining won't stop billionaires from giving BIASED interviews.
- It won't stop investment banks from publishing research (as they see fit).
- It won't stop rating agencies from issuing upgrades.
- It won't stop central banks from carefully managing expectations.
- It won't stop governments from announcing stimulus packages.
- It won't stop financial media from shaping narratives.
- And it certainly won't stop large institutions from trying to move markets in their favor.
Because that's exactly what every participant is trying to do.
The only difference is scale.
- Some have a YouTube channel.
- Some have millions of followers on X.
- Some have CNBC to go to.
- Some have Bloomberg.
- Some have central banks.
- Some have hundreds of billions of dollars.
You have your trading account.
Instead of asking whether the market is manipulated, ask a much better question:
Who is winning the battle to influence price today?
Because that's all the market really is.
A constant battle between competing narratives, competing capital and competing interests.
The market isn't fair
It never was.
So the next time your stop loss gets hit, don't immediately scream:
"Manipulation!"
Take a step back.
Accept that markets are constantly being influenced.
Then ask yourself the only question that can actually improve your trading:
"Which side has the stronger manipulation today... the buyers or the sellers?"
Because once you stop fighting the existence of manipulation and start understanding its direction , you stop behaving like a victim...
...and start thinking like a trader.
منتخب سردبیر
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