ETCUSDT در محدوده تقاضای کلان — بازگشت بزرگ یا شکست نهایی؟
CryptoNuclear
مشخصات معامله
نوع معامله:
خرید
قیمت در زمان انتشار:
۸.۷۶
توضیحات
On the 1W (Weekly) timeframe, the price movement of ETC/USDT is still trading within a macro downtrend structure since the 2021 bull cycle peak.
After failing to hold the distribution range around $30–$40, price continued forming:
Lower Highs
Lower Lows
Currently, price has declined back into a major historical demand zone, which previously acted as the accumulation base before the large impulsive rally.
The marked zone (yellow block) is located at:
$5.8 – $4.7
This is a critical long-term area.
---
Structure & Pattern Formation
1. Macro Descending Structure
Since 2021, price has formed a consistent bearish structure:
LH → LL → LH → LL
Indicates sellers remain dominant on the macro scale.
---
2. Weekly Compression into Demand
The latest decline shows an impulsive selloff into demand.
Characteristics:
Large bearish candles
Minimal retracement
Signals panic selling / capitulation phase
This phase often occurs near accumulation zones.
---
3. Historical Demand Zone Retest
The yellow block represents:
The base before the 2021 rally
Smart money accumulation area
A macro support that has not been cleanly broken
A retest of an old demand zone often triggers strong reactions.
---
Key Levels
Major Support
$5.8 – $4.7 → Major Demand / Accumulation
$3.0 → Extreme historical support
Key Resistance
$10 – $12 → Minor supply / breakdown level
$18 – $22 → Mid resistance
$30+ → Macro distribution zone
---
Bullish Scenario
Bullish continuation becomes valid if the demand zone holds.
Confirmation triggers:
1. Strong rejection from $5.8 – $4.7
2. Bullish engulfing / weekly hammer forms
3. Minor structure break above $10
Upside targets:
TP1 → $10 – $12
TP2 → $18 – $22
TP3 → $28 – $30
Macro target → $38+
From a risk-reward perspective, this demand zone is attractive for swing or position trades if reversal confirmation appears.
---
Bearish Scenario
Bearish continuation occurs if demand fails to hold.
Breakdown confirmations:
1. Weekly close below $4.7
2. Failed retest (support turns resistance)
3. Increasing sell volume
Downside potential:
$3.5 interim reaction zone
$3.0 next historical support
Possible deeper wicks if the broader crypto market weakens
A macro demand breakdown would signal continued markdown phase.
---
Conclusion
Ethereum Classic is currently at a cycle decision point.
The $5.8 – $4.7 zone represents:
Historical demand
Prior accumulation base
Last macro support before extreme lows
Price reaction here will determine the next major direction:
Hold → Multi-month reversal potential
Break → Continued macro bearish trend
The market is sitting in a key “decision zone”.
#ETC #ETCUSDT #EthereumClassic #CryptoAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #Altcoin #CryptoTrading #SupportResistance #SupplyDemand #SmartMoney #MarketStructure #Altcoins #CryptoMarket #SwingTrading
After failing to hold the distribution range around $30–$40, price continued forming:
Lower Highs
Lower Lows
Currently, price has declined back into a major historical demand zone, which previously acted as the accumulation base before the large impulsive rally.
The marked zone (yellow block) is located at:
$5.8 – $4.7
This is a critical long-term area.
---
Structure & Pattern Formation
1. Macro Descending Structure
Since 2021, price has formed a consistent bearish structure:
LH → LL → LH → LL
Indicates sellers remain dominant on the macro scale.
---
2. Weekly Compression into Demand
The latest decline shows an impulsive selloff into demand.
Characteristics:
Large bearish candles
Minimal retracement
Signals panic selling / capitulation phase
This phase often occurs near accumulation zones.
---
3. Historical Demand Zone Retest
The yellow block represents:
The base before the 2021 rally
Smart money accumulation area
A macro support that has not been cleanly broken
A retest of an old demand zone often triggers strong reactions.
---
Key Levels
Major Support
$5.8 – $4.7 → Major Demand / Accumulation
$3.0 → Extreme historical support
Key Resistance
$10 – $12 → Minor supply / breakdown level
$18 – $22 → Mid resistance
$30+ → Macro distribution zone
---
Bullish Scenario
Bullish continuation becomes valid if the demand zone holds.
Confirmation triggers:
1. Strong rejection from $5.8 – $4.7
2. Bullish engulfing / weekly hammer forms
3. Minor structure break above $10
Upside targets:
TP1 → $10 – $12
TP2 → $18 – $22
TP3 → $28 – $30
Macro target → $38+
From a risk-reward perspective, this demand zone is attractive for swing or position trades if reversal confirmation appears.
---
Bearish Scenario
Bearish continuation occurs if demand fails to hold.
Breakdown confirmations:
1. Weekly close below $4.7
2. Failed retest (support turns resistance)
3. Increasing sell volume
Downside potential:
$3.5 interim reaction zone
$3.0 next historical support
Possible deeper wicks if the broader crypto market weakens
A macro demand breakdown would signal continued markdown phase.
---
Conclusion
Ethereum Classic is currently at a cycle decision point.
The $5.8 – $4.7 zone represents:
Historical demand
Prior accumulation base
Last macro support before extreme lows
Price reaction here will determine the next major direction:
Hold → Multi-month reversal potential
Break → Continued macro bearish trend
The market is sitting in a key “decision zone”.
#ETC #ETCUSDT #EthereumClassic #CryptoAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #Altcoin #CryptoTrading #SupportResistance #SupplyDemand #SmartMoney #MarketStructure #Altcoins #CryptoMarket #SwingTrading
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