ETH/USD تحلیل تکنیکال

📊 ETH/USD Technical Analysis – Consolidation After Bearish Channel 🔍
🧭 Market Structure Overview

Primary Trend: The market experienced a sharp bearish channel (clearly defined descending structure), indicating strong selling pressure earlier in the move.

Current Phase: Price has now exited the bearish channel and is moving sideways, signaling consolidation rather than immediate trend reversal.

📉 Key Technical Zones

🔴 Major Resistance (Higher): 3,480 – 3,500 USD

Strong rejection zone

Represents previous supply and institutional selling area

Price must reclaim this level for any bullish continuation

🟪 Mid-Range Consolidation Zone: 3,050 – 3,150 USD

Price is currently compressing here

Acts as a decision zone (balance between buyers & sellers)

🟢 Major Support (Lower): 2,620 – 2,650 USD

Strong demand zone

Previous structural low

A breakdown below this level could trigger accelerated downside

📐 Pattern & Price Behavior

🔻 Bearish Channel Breakdown: Completed

🔁 Range Formation: Sideways chop after impulsive sell-off

📉 Lower Highs: Still intact → bearish bias remains dominant

📊 Momentum (RSI) Insight

RSI is hovering near oversold territory (~20–25)

⚠️ Indicates weak momentum, not yet a strong bullish divergence

Suggests potential for:

Short-term bounce 📈

Or continuation after minor pullback 📉

🔮 Probable Scenarios
🐻 Bearish Continuation (Higher Probability)

Failure to break above 3,050–3,100

Breakdown from consolidation

Target zones:

2,800 USD

2,620 USD (major support)

🐂 Bullish Relief Rally (Lower Probability)

Requires:

Strong volume

Daily close above 3,150 USD

Upside targets:

3,300 USD

3,480 USD (key resistance)

🧠 Professional Summary

📌 ETH remains in a corrective phase.
The market is consolidating after a strong bearish impulse, suggesting distribution rather than accumulation at current levels. Until price reclaims the 3,150–3,200 USD zone with conviction, downside risk remains dominant.