Is Bitcoin Repeating the 2021 Post ATH sequence ? - Possibly
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I first posted this chart last year, highlighting how PA has some similarities with the 2021 ATH Runs.
A Quick Recap, Both 2021 and now have an early ATH, a retreat, a push higher to a New ATH and then a deeper Dive.
Both had Divergences in play
Both the 2021 and 2025 ATH's are within the 0 to 0.236 Fib retracement Fib lines.
From the First ATH to the Low of the retreat, Both went to the 236 Fib line before pushing to a new ATH
We do have to wait and see if this does play out again but what is interesting is that the ATH to next high in 2021 / 2022 was 147 days
Should this happen again, that puts us around beginning of March.....which is a Moment of interest on a number of charts, with a price range around 95K - 105K usd
The Crucial point in this PA is IF the 236 Fib lines gets broken or not.
Should this happen, where would we go ?
Impossible to say for sure but we should all remember the pressure and rising interest rates that were applied in the FIAT banking system , that rekt many large influential Companies and the stupidity of FTX.
These things applied negative pressure to Bitcoina nd Crypto, driving the Bear deeper.
Providing this does not happen again, we may stop at the 382 Fib line, around 54K - 57K but that is My assumption and I will have to react if we get there...
For now, I am watching that 236 Fib line around 77K USD as a trigger line.
And the 95K - 105K usd as a Rejection area.
Time will Tell
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