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Bitcoin is showing an upward trend.

Bitcoin is showing an upward trend.

DylanGoldman

analysis_chart
مشخصات معامله

نوع معامله:

خرید

قیمت در زمان انتشار:

۸۷,۸۶۰

توضیحات
Bullish Catalyst Logic: Three-Pronged Support Lays the Foundation for a Rebound
1. Strong Technical Demand for Oversold Recovery
Bitcoin has posted four consecutive daily declines, tumbling sharply from the high of $94,500 to $87,700, with a short-term drop of 7.2%. The RSI indicators on the 1-hour and 30-minute charts have turned upward from the oversold zone, signaling intense short-term demand for a technical rebound.
The key support system remains robust:
- The $85,000-$85,500 range was the low point after the recent sharp decline, forming a solid capital absorption platform with concentrated buying interest.
- $83,680 marks the convergence of the 100-week SMA and the long-term uptrend line, serving as a structural strong support level with an extremely low probability of being breached.
In addition, after the price broke below the lower band of the Bollinger Bands, historical patterns show that the probability of a return to the channel after a breakout exceeds 80%. Currently, Bitcoin is in the phase of repairing and moving back into the Bollinger Bands channel.
2. Rate Cut Expectations Have Not Been Fully Priced In
Despite the short-term "sell the fact" movement following the landing of rate cut positives, data from the CME FedWatch Tool indicates that market expectations for subsequent sustained easing remain intact. The broader environment of synchronized monetary easing across major global economies has not changed, providing fundamental liquidity support for Bitcoin.
Bitcoin’s negative correlation with risk-free yields remains valid. If future economic data falls short of expectations, expectations for further easing may reignite, driving capital to flow back into risk assets such as Bitcoin.
3. Resonance Between Gap Filling and Oversold Rebound
There is a CME futures price gap in the current $87,000-$89,000 range. Historical data shows that the probability of subsequent filling of CME futures gaps is relatively high, making this range a key short-term price magnet.
Meanwhile, on the 4-hour chart, the MACD is showing shrinking volume with accumulating capital—both the DIF and DEA lines are converging. This indicates that downward momentum is gradually fading, and the short-term market has entered an extreme oversold zone, which could trigger a technical rebound at any time.

Bitcoin trading strategy
buy:86500-87500
tp:88500-90000-92000

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