ETH Trade Plan (December 10, 2025)
BTC_ETH_Intra_Day_Analysis
مشخصات معامله
نوع معامله:
خرید
قیمت در زمان انتشار:
۳,۳۲۹.۶۷
توضیحات
ETH Trade Plan (December 10, 2025)
(D1 / H4 / H1 / M15)
⬛️ 1. Higher Timeframe Context (D1 and H4)
• D1 bias: bullish
• D1 range (approx): $3,000 – $4,000
• Key D1 zones:
• Supply: $3,800–$4,000 (historical resistance)
• Demand: $3,000–$3,300
• H4 bias: buy dips
• H4 zones of interest:
• H4 Sell Zone 1: – highs cluster
• H4 Buy Zone 1: – OB + demand
Active setups are trend-aligned with D1/H4.
⬛️ 2. Preferred Setups by Horizon
🔳 2.1 Swing Setup (D1/H4)
• Idea: Buy dips to $3,300 for $4,000+ (trend-aligned).
• Time horizon: multi-day.
• Context: Macro risk-on + on-chain strength.
🔲 2.2 Intraday Setup (H1 focus)
• Idea: Long above $3,370.
• Time horizon: intraday.
• Context: H4 impulse + rally regime.
▫️ 2.3 Scalp Setup (M15 focus)
• Idea: Buy pullbacks to $3,350 with absorption.
• Time horizon: minutes–hours.
▪️ 2.4 Arbitrage/Pairs Concept (if relevant)
• Long ETH/BTC – outperforming bias.
⬛️ 3. Entry Zones and Triggers
🟩 3.1 Long Setup (Trend-Aligned)
• Execution timeframe: H1
• Trigger timeframe: M15
• Entry zone:
• Context: H4 demand, whale flows supportive.
• Pattern tags:
Trigger conditions:
• Reclaim above $3,370 with positive delta.
• ML-Predictive (15m): upside ≥ downside.
• No extreme risk flags.
🔴 4. Stops (Invalidation Levels)
Long setups:
• Stop: $3,300.
• Logic: Break of demand; idea wrong below.
🟢 5. Targets
Long:
• TP1: $3,500 – H1 extension.
• TP2: $3,800 – H4 supply.
• TP3 (optional): $4,000 – D1 objective.
⬛️ 6. Position Sizing
• Baseline risk:
• Trend-aligned setups: 1.0.
• Adjust: low uncertainty + high alignment.
Final: 1.0 for trend long.
⬛️ 7. Risk Flags
• Put skew volatility.
• Fed event risk.
• High OI crowding.
⬛️ 8. Flip Conditions
• Long to bear: Close below $3,300 + negative funding.
⬛️ 9. Alternative Scenario
Rejection at $3,800: double top, short zone $3,750–$3,800, stop $3,850, targets $3,500/$3,300. Differs as failed breakout vs continuation.
⬛️ 10. Model Self-Critique
• Assumptions: Rally sustains on macro, no Fed surprise.
• Vulnerabilities: Sudden risk-off, misinterpreted flows.
• Do not chase highs without confirmation.
⬛️ 11. Uncertainty and Constraints
• Uncertainty.level: low.
(D1 / H4 / H1 / M15)
⬛️ 1. Higher Timeframe Context (D1 and H4)
• D1 bias: bullish
• D1 range (approx): $3,000 – $4,000
• Key D1 zones:
• Supply: $3,800–$4,000 (historical resistance)
• Demand: $3,000–$3,300
• H4 bias: buy dips
• H4 zones of interest:
• H4 Sell Zone 1: – highs cluster
• H4 Buy Zone 1: – OB + demand
Active setups are trend-aligned with D1/H4.
⬛️ 2. Preferred Setups by Horizon
🔳 2.1 Swing Setup (D1/H4)
• Idea: Buy dips to $3,300 for $4,000+ (trend-aligned).
• Time horizon: multi-day.
• Context: Macro risk-on + on-chain strength.
🔲 2.2 Intraday Setup (H1 focus)
• Idea: Long above $3,370.
• Time horizon: intraday.
• Context: H4 impulse + rally regime.
▫️ 2.3 Scalp Setup (M15 focus)
• Idea: Buy pullbacks to $3,350 with absorption.
• Time horizon: minutes–hours.
▪️ 2.4 Arbitrage/Pairs Concept (if relevant)
• Long ETH/BTC – outperforming bias.
⬛️ 3. Entry Zones and Triggers
🟩 3.1 Long Setup (Trend-Aligned)
• Execution timeframe: H1
• Trigger timeframe: M15
• Entry zone:
• Context: H4 demand, whale flows supportive.
• Pattern tags:
Trigger conditions:
• Reclaim above $3,370 with positive delta.
• ML-Predictive (15m): upside ≥ downside.
• No extreme risk flags.
🔴 4. Stops (Invalidation Levels)
Long setups:
• Stop: $3,300.
• Logic: Break of demand; idea wrong below.
🟢 5. Targets
Long:
• TP1: $3,500 – H1 extension.
• TP2: $3,800 – H4 supply.
• TP3 (optional): $4,000 – D1 objective.
⬛️ 6. Position Sizing
• Baseline risk:
• Trend-aligned setups: 1.0.
• Adjust: low uncertainty + high alignment.
Final: 1.0 for trend long.
⬛️ 7. Risk Flags
• Put skew volatility.
• Fed event risk.
• High OI crowding.
⬛️ 8. Flip Conditions
• Long to bear: Close below $3,300 + negative funding.
⬛️ 9. Alternative Scenario
Rejection at $3,800: double top, short zone $3,750–$3,800, stop $3,850, targets $3,500/$3,300. Differs as failed breakout vs continuation.
⬛️ 10. Model Self-Critique
• Assumptions: Rally sustains on macro, no Fed surprise.
• Vulnerabilities: Sudden risk-off, misinterpreted flows.
• Do not chase highs without confirmation.
⬛️ 11. Uncertainty and Constraints
• Uncertainty.level: low.
منتخب سردبیر
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ترمینال ترید بایتیکل نرمافزار جامع ترید و سرمایهگذاری در بازار ارز دیجیتال است و امکاناتی مانند دورههای آموزشی ترید و سرمایهگذاری، تریدینگ ویو بدون محدودیت، هوش مصنوعی استراتژی ساز ترید، کلیه دادههای بازارهای مالی شامل دادههای اقتصاد کلان، تحلیل احساسات بازار، تکنیکال و آنچین، اتصال و مدیریت حساب صرافیها و تحلیلهای لحظهای را برای کاربران فراهم میکند.
