BTC/USD | آزمایش حمایت کلیدی — کانال موازی + 50 SMA

Bitcoin is currently testing a critical confluence zone — the lower boundary of the parallel channel and the 50-week SMA.

✅ The trend structure remains intact as long as BTC holds above this channel support.
⚠️ A weekly close below could invite deeper correction toward the $90K zone.
📊 RSI is cooling down but still above the midline, suggesting potential for a rebound if buyers defend this area.


Reasons a Bounce Is Likely

1. Channel Support

BTC is exactly at the lower boundary of a long-term ascending channel — historically, these levels have acted as strong dynamic support zones, where previous pullbacks found footing.

2. 50-Week SMA Confluence
The 50-week Simple Moving Average (SMA) aligns closely with the current price zone.
→ Historically, Bitcoin often respects the 50 SMA as a mid-cycle support, especially during healthy bull markets.

3. RSI Reset
RSI on the weekly chart has cooled off near mid-level (around 45–50), which is often a “reloading” zone before another leg up. It shows there’s room for momentum to rebuild upward.

4. Volume Decline on Pullback
The declining sell volume hints at seller exhaustion. A spike in buy volume could easily trigger a reversal from here.

Conclusion:
BTC must hold this level to maintain the long-term bullish structure. A strong bounce here could mark the next leg higher within the channel.