EcoByG تحلیل روزانه BTC #26 — بهروزرسانی بازار BTC روزانه
ecobyg1
مشخصات معامله
قیمت در زمان انتشار:
۹۳,۲۵۵.۳۵
توضیحات
Short-Term, Real Decisions
سلام 👋 و به تحلیل بیتکوین دیگری خوش آمدید — #26
قبل از anything else, let me be very clear:
این بازه زمانی برای پیشبینی چرخه نیست، برای نگهداشتن احساسی نیست.
این فقط برای پاسخ به یک سوال است: ادامه؟ اصلاح؟ یا فیک اوت؟
1️⃣ 4H ساختار – بازار چه چیزی ساخته است؟
From the low around 84K up to now:
A Higher Low was formed
Followed by a Higher High
📌 That means on the 4H timeframe, structure has turned bullish ✔️
❗️But this bullish structure is happening inside a larger correction (1D / 1W).
So for now:
Every upside move = potential pullback,
until proven otherwise.
2️⃣ Range Break – The most important event of this move
In the middle of the chart, we had a slow, exhausting range:
The high was tested multiple times
Sellers kept defending
Price action became tiring and choppy
Then what happened?
The range broke with strong green-bodied candles
Momentum expanded
Not with one candle, but several in a row
📌 This breakout is real, not a quick fakeout.
3️⃣ Moving Averages
Price above all three SMAs
SMA(28) above SMA(58)
SMA(58) above SMA(99)
All three slopes pointing upward
📌 Short-term momentum is clearly in favor of buyers.
❗️This validity applies only to the 4H timeframe,
not to higher timeframes.
4️⃣ RSI – Where many traders get it wrong
RSI above 60 → positive momentum
Near 70 → pullback risk, not necessarily a drop
❌ “RSI above 70 → short”
✔️ Reality:
A high RSI only means long entries are late,
not that the market must reverse.
5️⃣ The Zone We’re Standing In Now
Area: 93.3K – 94.2K
A clear resistance zone.
On the chart:
Recent candles have small bodies
Upper wicks are present
📌 Buyers are catching their breath.
Sellers are just stepping in —
but they’re not in control yet.
6️⃣ Bullish Candle Count – Very important
From 84K to now:
About 10–12 bullish 4H candles
Almost no deep correction
📌 The market had strong momentum,
but now it needs rest or a pullback.
Honest Summary
Long here?
❌ No — it’s late.
Short here?
❌ Not yet — structure hasn’t broken.
Best move?
✔️ Wait
✔️ A clean pullback
✔️ Or confirmation from the next candle
Right now, the market is teaching impatient traders a lesson, not rewarding patient ones.
This is a place for managing emotions, not for more analysis.
⚠️ Risk Alert ⚠️
Futures are not beginner-friendly. These triggers require solid experience.
Before using them, study risk management and practice with the learning content here.
سلام 👋 و به تحلیل بیتکوین دیگری خوش آمدید — #26
قبل از anything else, let me be very clear:
این بازه زمانی برای پیشبینی چرخه نیست، برای نگهداشتن احساسی نیست.
این فقط برای پاسخ به یک سوال است: ادامه؟ اصلاح؟ یا فیک اوت؟
1️⃣ 4H ساختار – بازار چه چیزی ساخته است؟
From the low around 84K up to now:
A Higher Low was formed
Followed by a Higher High
📌 That means on the 4H timeframe, structure has turned bullish ✔️
❗️But this bullish structure is happening inside a larger correction (1D / 1W).
So for now:
Every upside move = potential pullback,
until proven otherwise.
2️⃣ Range Break – The most important event of this move
In the middle of the chart, we had a slow, exhausting range:
The high was tested multiple times
Sellers kept defending
Price action became tiring and choppy
Then what happened?
The range broke with strong green-bodied candles
Momentum expanded
Not with one candle, but several in a row
📌 This breakout is real, not a quick fakeout.
3️⃣ Moving Averages
Price above all three SMAs
SMA(28) above SMA(58)
SMA(58) above SMA(99)
All three slopes pointing upward
📌 Short-term momentum is clearly in favor of buyers.
❗️This validity applies only to the 4H timeframe,
not to higher timeframes.
4️⃣ RSI – Where many traders get it wrong
RSI above 60 → positive momentum
Near 70 → pullback risk, not necessarily a drop
❌ “RSI above 70 → short”
✔️ Reality:
A high RSI only means long entries are late,
not that the market must reverse.
5️⃣ The Zone We’re Standing In Now
Area: 93.3K – 94.2K
A clear resistance zone.
On the chart:
Recent candles have small bodies
Upper wicks are present
📌 Buyers are catching their breath.
Sellers are just stepping in —
but they’re not in control yet.
6️⃣ Bullish Candle Count – Very important
From 84K to now:
About 10–12 bullish 4H candles
Almost no deep correction
📌 The market had strong momentum,
but now it needs rest or a pullback.
Honest Summary
Long here?
❌ No — it’s late.
Short here?
❌ Not yet — structure hasn’t broken.
Best move?
✔️ Wait
✔️ A clean pullback
✔️ Or confirmation from the next candle
Right now, the market is teaching impatient traders a lesson, not rewarding patient ones.
This is a place for managing emotions, not for more analysis.
⚠️ Risk Alert ⚠️
Futures are not beginner-friendly. These triggers require solid experience.
Before using them, study risk management and practice with the learning content here.
منتخب سردبیر
مشاهده بیشتردستیار هوشمند ارز دیجیتال
ترمینال ترید بایتیکل نرمافزار جامع ترید و سرمایهگذاری در بازار ارز دیجیتال است و امکاناتی مانند دورههای آموزشی ترید و سرمایهگذاری، تریدینگ ویو بدون محدودیت، هوش مصنوعی استراتژی ساز ترید، کلیه دادههای بازارهای مالی شامل دادههای اقتصاد کلان، تحلیل احساسات بازار، تکنیکال و آنچین، اتصال و مدیریت حساب صرافیها و تحلیلهای لحظهای را برای کاربران فراهم میکند.
