BTC طرح روزانه 2026-07-24

BTC is trading at 65,318 within a broad 4H range between 64,800 and 66,000 following the pullback from the recent high around 67,000. The 4H MACD remains slightly bearish (-140), but the downside momentum is beginning to fade. Meanwhile, the 1H MACD has turned bullish again, with a green histogram (+71). In the short term, buyers are stepping in from the 64,800 support, although the 65,400-65,600 area continues to act as key resistance on both the 15M and 1H timeframes. Within the broader weekly bear market, every recovery remains a potential selling opportunity below 66,000. Only a sustained move above 66,000 would shift the 1H outlook back to bullish, while a break below 64,700 would increase the risk of a retest of the 64,000 zone.

## Scenario 1 – Primary

**Range Bounce Toward the 66,000 Magnet**

**Probability:** 54%

The bullish turn in the 1H MACD, combined with price holding above 65,100, supports a move toward 65,600 and eventually the 66,000 liquidity magnet. This setup is traded within the existing range, although the weekly bear market increases the risk of a fakeout around the 66,000 resistance.

**① Entry**
Long at 65,150-65,300 while holding above the 15M 9 SMA, or on a retest of 65,100.

**② Trigger**
A 5M or 15M candle close above 65,400 confirms bullish momentum.

**Stop**
Below 64,750 (break of the range low).

**Targets**

* **T1:** 65,600 ✦
* **T2:** 66,000 ✦
* **T3:** 66,400

**Invalidation:**
A 4H candle close below 64,700 invalidates the bounce and activates the bearish scenario, targeting 64,000.

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Probabilities are subjective technical assessments and not guarantees. Triggers outweigh opinions—only trade after confirmation. This is not financial advice. Always apply your own risk management.