چشمانداز Chainlink (LINK): آیا موج ۳ میتواند تا $14.91 گسترش یابد؟
Kap_Waves
مشخصات معامله
نوع معامله:
خرید
قیمت در زمان انتشار:
۱۱.۵۸۵
توضیحات
Chainlink has moved sharply higher over the past several weeks, and the latest fundamental developments are adding weight to the broader adoption narrative. But after a strong advance, the key question is whether LINK is entering the next impulsive leg or simply consolidating before a deeper correction.
The current 4H structure favors the former.
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What's Driving Chainlink Right Now?
The latest catalyst came on August 24, when Coinbase selected Chainlink as the official oracle infrastructure for its newly launched Tokenized Stocks on Base. Chainlink Data Feeds will provide continuous pricing for tokenized equities, allowing DeFi applications to potentially use these assets in lending, borrowing and trading applications.
This follows a series of recent developments strengthening Chainlink's institutional and cross-chain narrative.
On August 18, Wyoming's Stable Token Commission migrated its Frontier Stable Token (FRNT) from LayerZero to Chainlink's CCIP under a multi-year agreement, making CCIP its exclusive cross-chain infrastructure.
Chainlink has also continued expanding its infrastructure footprint, while recent reports point to strong institutional interest through LINK investment products. CoinMarketCap reported that Chainlink products attracted $13.35 million of weekly inflows as of August 23, described as their strongest weekly performance since launch.
The important distinction is that these developments strengthen the fundamental narrative around Chainlink, but they do not by themselves determine the next price move.
Fundamentals are strengthening the narrative, while the technical structure is showing a potential continuation of the bullish impulse.
--
Technical Analysis
On the 4H chart, LINK appears to be developing a larger impulsive structure following the completion of Wave II around the $6.999 area.
The advance from that low has developed into a series of impulsive subdivisions, with the current structure suggesting that the market is progressing through **Wave III**.
Within this move, Wave ③ reached approximately **$12.582** before price entered the current consolidation.
The pullback that followed is currently being treated as **Wave ④**, rather than the beginning of a larger bearish reversal.
If this interpretation remains valid, the next move would be **Wave ⑤ of Wave III**, completing the larger Wave III structure.
The projected upside for this move is around **$14.910**.
Key Levels
$12.582 — previous Wave ③ high and immediate structural reference
$11.10 — 0.236 retracement level shown on the chart
$10.70 — 0.382 retracement level
$14.910 — projected Wave III target
$8.889 — Elliott Wave count invalidation area
The $11.10 and $10.70 areas are particularly important if LINK experiences another pullback. Holding above these levels would keep the current bullish interpretation intact.
--
Bullish Scenario
The preferred scenario is that the current consolidation represents Wave ④ within the broader Wave III advance.
A sustained move back through the **$12.582** Wave ③ high would strengthen the case that Wave ⑤ is underway.
Under this interpretation, the projected objective for the larger Wave III is approximately **$14.910**.
Bearish Scenario
The bullish count would become increasingly questionable if LINK loses the retracement structure shown on the chart and begins developing a deeper corrective pattern.
The major count invalidation sits at **$8.889**.
A break below that area would invalidate the current Elliott Wave interpretation and require a reassessment of the larger structure.
--
Kap Waves Outlook
The fundamental backdrop has become increasingly supportive for Chainlink, with Coinbase's tokenized-stock integration, Wyoming's adoption of CCIP and continued institutional interest reinforcing the network's role in tokenized assets and cross-chain infrastructure.
Technically, however, the more important development is the structure itself.
LINK has already completed a substantial advance, but the current 4H count suggests that the move may not be finished. As long as the corrective structure remains contained and the bullish count stays valid, Kap Waves' preferred scenario is for **Wave ⑤ of Wave III to extend toward $14.910**.
The key is not simply whether LINK is bullish. It is whether the current structure continues to behave like an impulse.
$12.582 remains the key upside reference, while $8.889 is the line that invalidates the current count.
The current 4H structure favors the former.
--
What's Driving Chainlink Right Now?
The latest catalyst came on August 24, when Coinbase selected Chainlink as the official oracle infrastructure for its newly launched Tokenized Stocks on Base. Chainlink Data Feeds will provide continuous pricing for tokenized equities, allowing DeFi applications to potentially use these assets in lending, borrowing and trading applications.
This follows a series of recent developments strengthening Chainlink's institutional and cross-chain narrative.
On August 18, Wyoming's Stable Token Commission migrated its Frontier Stable Token (FRNT) from LayerZero to Chainlink's CCIP under a multi-year agreement, making CCIP its exclusive cross-chain infrastructure.
Chainlink has also continued expanding its infrastructure footprint, while recent reports point to strong institutional interest through LINK investment products. CoinMarketCap reported that Chainlink products attracted $13.35 million of weekly inflows as of August 23, described as their strongest weekly performance since launch.
The important distinction is that these developments strengthen the fundamental narrative around Chainlink, but they do not by themselves determine the next price move.
Fundamentals are strengthening the narrative, while the technical structure is showing a potential continuation of the bullish impulse.
--
Technical Analysis
On the 4H chart, LINK appears to be developing a larger impulsive structure following the completion of Wave II around the $6.999 area.
The advance from that low has developed into a series of impulsive subdivisions, with the current structure suggesting that the market is progressing through **Wave III**.
Within this move, Wave ③ reached approximately **$12.582** before price entered the current consolidation.
The pullback that followed is currently being treated as **Wave ④**, rather than the beginning of a larger bearish reversal.
If this interpretation remains valid, the next move would be **Wave ⑤ of Wave III**, completing the larger Wave III structure.
The projected upside for this move is around **$14.910**.
Key Levels
$12.582 — previous Wave ③ high and immediate structural reference
$11.10 — 0.236 retracement level shown on the chart
$10.70 — 0.382 retracement level
$14.910 — projected Wave III target
$8.889 — Elliott Wave count invalidation area
The $11.10 and $10.70 areas are particularly important if LINK experiences another pullback. Holding above these levels would keep the current bullish interpretation intact.
--
Bullish Scenario
The preferred scenario is that the current consolidation represents Wave ④ within the broader Wave III advance.
A sustained move back through the **$12.582** Wave ③ high would strengthen the case that Wave ⑤ is underway.
Under this interpretation, the projected objective for the larger Wave III is approximately **$14.910**.
Bearish Scenario
The bullish count would become increasingly questionable if LINK loses the retracement structure shown on the chart and begins developing a deeper corrective pattern.
The major count invalidation sits at **$8.889**.
A break below that area would invalidate the current Elliott Wave interpretation and require a reassessment of the larger structure.
--
Kap Waves Outlook
The fundamental backdrop has become increasingly supportive for Chainlink, with Coinbase's tokenized-stock integration, Wyoming's adoption of CCIP and continued institutional interest reinforcing the network's role in tokenized assets and cross-chain infrastructure.
Technically, however, the more important development is the structure itself.
LINK has already completed a substantial advance, but the current 4H count suggests that the move may not be finished. As long as the corrective structure remains contained and the bullish count stays valid, Kap Waves' preferred scenario is for **Wave ⑤ of Wave III to extend toward $14.910**.
The key is not simply whether LINK is bullish. It is whether the current structure continues to behave like an impulse.
$12.582 remains the key upside reference, while $8.889 is the line that invalidates the current count.
منتخب سردبیر
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