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افت اعتبار بیت‌کوین زیر 46,510.26 دلار

افت اعتبار بیت‌کوین زیر 46,510.26 دلار

hosseinhbtc

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قیمت در زمان انتشار:

۶۳,۸۴۸.۳۹

توضیحات
For some time, using classical physics and slope calculation, I have developed a model to measure "Bitcoin Credibility." The purpose of this text is to record a claim, so that later it can be proven that this formula accurately predicted the target price.

According to this model, the next Bitcoin trough is at $46,510.26 , which represents the lowest monthly close in the Bitcoin All Time History Index chart. This level is not just a price for me, but a point where the slope of the credibility momentum is determined.

The indicator I am developing is called Bitcoin Credibility and consists of four lines, with two main lines: Base Bitcoin Momentum and Bitcoin Momentum. As long as the slope of Bitcoin Momentum is rising, Bitcoin's credibility is increasing, and the upward strength is expected to continue. If the momentum slope decreases by dropping below this level, credibility weakens and the potential of the next upward move diminishes.

The second level, $29,646.20 , is the point where the slope becomes negative. Crossing this level halts structural growth, and Bitcoin is expected no longer to form a peak higher than the previous one. I previously performed these calculations for Ethereum as well, and it was clear that Ethereum could not reach a higher peak.

The third level, $16,864.06 , is the most critical zone. Falling below this level causes credibility momentum to breach below its Base line. In this scenario, not only the peaks but also subsequent troughs form lower, and the long-term structure enters a deep bearish phase.

The proposed model is not solely dependent on price movement or past trends. This formula, in addition to the physical logic of slope, incorporates institutional buyer calculations . Therefore, maintaining the first level is crucial, and losing it could lead to a harsh reality in market credibility structure .

Interestingly, these three levels overlap with three key structural market zones: a strong order block, a major support, and the previous trough, which further confirms the influence of institutional buyers.

This text is solely a record of a prediction. If the future unfolds according to these levels, the validity of this formula will also be empirically proven.

It should be noted, however, that these predicted levels may increase by approximately 15% , although this is unlikely, as it is still uncertain how strongly price trends follow dollar inflation.

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