AVAX - Rising Wedge at $14.12 | ETF Filings Spark +11% Rally
officialjackofalltrades
مشخصات معامله
قیمت در زمان انتشار:
۱۳.۹۹
توضیحات
Executive Summary
Avalanche (AVAX) trading at $14.12 within a rising wedge on the 2H timeframe. Price surged +11% this week as institutional ETF filings sparked a rally. Now testing upper resistance with two scenarios: bullish breakout above $14.75 or pullback to $12.00-$12.75 support zone before continuation.
BIAS: NEUTRAL - Watching for Breakout or Pullback
Current Market Data
Current: $14.123 (-0.82%)
Day's Range: $14.033 - $14.516
52-Week: $9.013 - $44.575
Market Cap: $6.08B
24h Volume: $384.76M
Technical Rating: Neutral
Performance:
1W: +11.80% | 1M: +6.89% | 3M: -53.89%
6M: -23.09% | YTD: +14.80% | 1Y: -66.85%
Key Catalyst
Institutional ETF filings sparked +11% rally
AVAX among altcoins with ETF filing momentum
Fortune 100 companies expected to launch blockchains on Avalanche
Strong ecosystem for enterprise adoption
Technical Structure - 2H
Rising Wedge Pattern:
Rising support and resistance trendlines (yellow dashed)
Wedge narrowing toward apex
Can break either direction
Currently testing upper resistance
Key Levels:
Resistance:
$14.50 - $14.75 - Upper resistance / breakout level
$15.00 - Psychological resistance
$16.00+ - Extended bullish target
Support:
$14.00 - Immediate support
$12.75 - Upper support zone
$12.00 - $12.75 - Major support zone (purple)
$11.75 - Deep support (red line)
SCENARIO ANALYSIS
BULLISH: Breakout Above $14.75
Trigger: 2H close above $14.75 with volume
Targets: $15.00 → $16.00 → $18.00
Catalyst: ETF momentum continues
BEARISH: Pullback to Support Zone
Rejection at upper wedge resistance
Pullback to $12.00-$12.75 support zone
Healthy retest before continuation
Buy opportunity at support
My Assessment
Rising wedge at resistance after +11% ETF-driven rally. Two scenarios: breakout above $14.75 or pullback to $12.00-$12.75 support zone. ETF filings provide fundamental catalyst. Watch for confirmation before entry.
Strategy:
Long above $14.75 breakout → Target $15, $16, $18
Or wait for pullback to $12.00-$12.75 support
Long at support with stop below $11.75
Target $14.50+ on bounce
List your thoughts below!
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