تحلیل Sky‑View بیتکوین — افت واقعی در راه است
RICHINVESTOR
مشخصات معامله
نوع معامله:
فروش
قیمت در زمان انتشار:
۶۸,۸۸۸.۰۱
توضیحات
In this video, I break down Bitcoin from a true top‑down perspective, starting with the quarterly (3‑month) chart and drilling all the way down to the 4‑hour timeframe. The higher‑timeframe structure forms the foundation of the broader thesis—it is not designed for trade entries or exits, but for understanding where Bitcoin is positioned in its macro cycle.
On the 3‑month chart, Bitcoin has found support at the 21 EMA, which aligns with the 50 EMA on the monthly timeframe. This behavior mirrors the structural pause we saw in 2021. Based on this pattern, I expect price to hold this region into next month before a potential major sell‑off into the deeper liquidity zone between $49,000 and $56,000.
However, I do not expect a final bottom in that zone. The Stochastics cycle—one of the most reliable tools for timing Bitcoin’s macro highs and lows—has not yet reached the 20‑level floor. Until that cycle completes and turns upward, it is premature to call a long‑term bottom. When the Stochastics cycle finally resets, that will be the ideal accumulation window for the next major rally.
On the weekly and daily timeframes, indicators are already oversold, suggesting Bitcoin may continue to move sideways while momentum resets. During this consolidation, I expect liquidity to be taken on both sides of the range—toward $75,000 on the upside and $62,000 on the downside. This is classic market‑maker behavior, so trade with caution.
This analysis reflects my personal outlook and is not financial advice. If you find value in these breakdowns, show your support with a boost and share this with a trader you care about—you might help them avoid a costly mistake. Let’s continue growing as a community that studies, understands, and masters the markets together.
Cheers!
On the 3‑month chart, Bitcoin has found support at the 21 EMA, which aligns with the 50 EMA on the monthly timeframe. This behavior mirrors the structural pause we saw in 2021. Based on this pattern, I expect price to hold this region into next month before a potential major sell‑off into the deeper liquidity zone between $49,000 and $56,000.
However, I do not expect a final bottom in that zone. The Stochastics cycle—one of the most reliable tools for timing Bitcoin’s macro highs and lows—has not yet reached the 20‑level floor. Until that cycle completes and turns upward, it is premature to call a long‑term bottom. When the Stochastics cycle finally resets, that will be the ideal accumulation window for the next major rally.
On the weekly and daily timeframes, indicators are already oversold, suggesting Bitcoin may continue to move sideways while momentum resets. During this consolidation, I expect liquidity to be taken on both sides of the range—toward $75,000 on the upside and $62,000 on the downside. This is classic market‑maker behavior, so trade with caution.
This analysis reflects my personal outlook and is not financial advice. If you find value in these breakdowns, show your support with a boost and share this with a trader you care about—you might help them avoid a costly mistake. Let’s continue growing as a community that studies, understands, and masters the markets together.
Cheers!
منتخب سردبیر
مشاهده بیشتردستیار هوشمند ارز دیجیتال
ترمینال ترید بایتیکل نرمافزار جامع ترید و سرمایهگذاری در بازار ارز دیجیتال است و امکاناتی مانند دورههای آموزشی ترید و سرمایهگذاری، تریدینگ ویو بدون محدودیت، هوش مصنوعی استراتژی ساز ترید، کلیه دادههای بازارهای مالی شامل دادههای اقتصاد کلان، تحلیل احساسات بازار، تکنیکال و آنچین، اتصال و مدیریت حساب صرافیها و تحلیلهای لحظهای را برای کاربران فراهم میکند.
