SOLUSDT: Relief Bounce قبل از Capitulation

جهت‌گیری کلی: HTF Bearish تا زمانی که reclaim( $112 ish) به سطح بازپس‌گیری برسد
چارچوب: Market Structure + Fib + EMA Alignment + EW

خلاصه: احتمال bounce اصلاحی برای موقعیت Short.

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طرح اصلی:
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Primary Trade Plan — Sell the Rally
Short Setup
Entry Zone: $98 – $108
(previous breakdown level + EMA supply cluster)

Stop Loss: $112 daily close > (invalidation of lower-high)

Take Profits:
TP1: $82
TP2: $72
TP3: $62
Risk-to-reward: ~2.5R to 4R depending on entry.

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Secondary plan:
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Momentum trade only. If daily closes below $80:

Entry: $80–82 retest
Stop: $90
Targets: $70 → $60
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Next Up... Relief bounce. Why this is likely?

- Daily is extended from EMAs
- Price sitting at 1.618 retrace zone
- No capitulation spike yet
- Bear trend intact
- SOL has broken below its rising channel and is trading under all major EMAs (50/100/200).
- Structure confirms a lower high and lower low sequence.


NOTE: Relief bounces are corrective — not impulsive. Until $112 is reclaimed on a daily close, the trend remains bearish.


Disclaimer: Educational purpose only. Not financial advice. Manage risk. Protect capital.