BTC — 4H Structure Update | Supply Test in Progress

Following the March 1st structural outlook, BTC has developed further within higher timeframe context.

Price has now moved away from HTF demand and is currently approaching a major supply zone (78k – 80k).

What Changed Since Last Analysis?

• Price successfully held the 60k HTF demand
• A range expansion to the upside occurred
• Market is now testing higher timeframe supply

However:

This move has not yet confirmed a full structural shift on the higher timeframe.

Key Structural Level

The previous Lower High at 72,271 has now been:

→ Reclaimed
→ Acting as support

This is the first constructive sign in market structure.

Current Situation

Price is now:

• Trading above reclaimed structure
• Testing major supply
• Showing slowing momentum into resistance

This suggests:

→ Potential distribution or continuation decision zone

What Confirms Continuation Higher?

For bullish continuation:

• Acceptance above 80,600 supply
• Strong impulsive break (not wicks)
• Holding above supply as new support

What Signals Rejection?

• Failure to break supply
• Weak structure near highs
• Loss of 72k support again

That would shift price back into:

→ range rotation / corrective phase

Perspective

We are no longer in accumulation.

We are now in:

→ Expansion testing supply

And this is where markets decide:

• Break & trend continuation
OR
• Reject & rotate lower

Conclusion

Structure has improved — but confirmation is not complete yet.

This is a decision zone, not a safe entry zone.

Let price confirm.