Ethereum ممکن است افت فروش خود را به پایان رسانده باشد — اکنون آزمون پیش روست

On the H4 timeframe, Ethereum’s price action aligns well with a completed 5-wave Elliott impulse to the downside. Wave (1) initiated the breakdown from the prior distribution range, followed by a weak corrective Wave (2) that failed to regain structure. Wave (3) unfolded as the strongest and most extended leg lower, confirming dominant bearish momentum a textbook characteristic of a third wave. This was followed by a shallow, overlapping Wave (4), before ETH printed a final Wave (5) sell-off into the 2,880–2,950 region, where downside momentum visibly slowed, suggesting selling exhaustion.

With Wave (5) likely completed, ETH now appears to be transitioning into a corrective ABC structure to the upside. The initial rebound from the lows can be interpreted as Wave A, followed by a potential pullback to form Wave B, before a broader Wave C advance toward the upper resistance zone around 3,400–3,450. This type of move would represent a technical recovery, not a confirmed trend reversal, consistent with post impulse Elliott behavior.

From a macro perspective, this Elliott setup fits the current environment. Broader crypto markets are stabilizing as risk sentiment improves modestly and no new liquidity shock is present. Expectations around U.S. monetary policy remain relatively steady, with yields no longer accelerating higher a condition that reduces pressure on risk assets like ETH. However, the absence of aggressive liquidity expansion also implies that any upside is more likely corrective and structured, rather than impulsive and trend-defining.

In summary, as long as the Wave (5) low holds, the Elliott framework supports a recovery via an ABC correction. A decisive break below that low would invalidate the count and reopen bearish continuation risk. Until confirmation is clear, patience remains critical the edge lies in letting both structure and macro conditions align before committing.