BITCOIN The 'Cycles within Cycles' Model
TradingShot
مشخصات معامله
نوع معامله:
فروش
قیمت در زمان انتشار:
۷۷,۶۲۲
توضیحات
We have talked about the 4-year Cycles of Bitcoin (BTCUSD) countless times but this is the first time we put them along the smaller phases within them, using the Time Fibonacci levels and the historic Halving events.
Basically we have divided each 4-year Cycle (going from bottom to bottom) into two smaller ones, the Accumulation and Distribution Phases. Those in turn are divided into two smaller ones themselves (4 in total), three Bull Phases and one Bear, which suits perfectly the 4-year Cycle Model that suggests that on average each Bull Cycle lasts 3 years and Bear Cycle 1 year.
As you can see, the Halvings and Time Fibs help at identifying the appropriate action within those smaller Cycles much more efficiently. For example the most effective Accumulation action is typically taken before the Halving, during the first year of the Cycle (first 1/4 mini Cycle). Halvings take place historically around the 0.382 Time Fib (not displayed on the chart because it overlaps the words). Re-accumulation usually takes place on the second 1/4 mini Cycle within the 0.236 - 0.5 Fib Zone, while the most efficient distribution takes place on the third 1/4 mini Cycle.
Right now we are 1 month after the first half of the current Bear Cycle and as shown on multiple previous analysis, the most common Target before it bottoms is $50000, which would also be a contact with the 1W MA350 (red trend-line), where the previous Bear Cycle bottomed.
So what do you think about this 'Cycles within Cycles' representation? Does it help putting things in context? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
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Basically we have divided each 4-year Cycle (going from bottom to bottom) into two smaller ones, the Accumulation and Distribution Phases. Those in turn are divided into two smaller ones themselves (4 in total), three Bull Phases and one Bear, which suits perfectly the 4-year Cycle Model that suggests that on average each Bull Cycle lasts 3 years and Bear Cycle 1 year.
As you can see, the Halvings and Time Fibs help at identifying the appropriate action within those smaller Cycles much more efficiently. For example the most effective Accumulation action is typically taken before the Halving, during the first year of the Cycle (first 1/4 mini Cycle). Halvings take place historically around the 0.382 Time Fib (not displayed on the chart because it overlaps the words). Re-accumulation usually takes place on the second 1/4 mini Cycle within the 0.236 - 0.5 Fib Zone, while the most efficient distribution takes place on the third 1/4 mini Cycle.
Right now we are 1 month after the first half of the current Bear Cycle and as shown on multiple previous analysis, the most common Target before it bottoms is $50000, which would also be a contact with the 1W MA350 (red trend-line), where the previous Bear Cycle bottomed.
So what do you think about this 'Cycles within Cycles' representation? Does it help putting things in context? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
---
Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
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💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
منتخب سردبیر
مشاهده بیشتردستیار هوشمند ارز دیجیتال
ترمینال ترید بایتیکل نرمافزار جامع ترید و سرمایهگذاری در بازار ارز دیجیتال است و امکاناتی مانند دورههای آموزشی ترید و سرمایهگذاری، تریدینگ ویو بدون محدودیت، هوش مصنوعی استراتژی ساز ترید، کلیه دادههای بازارهای مالی شامل دادههای اقتصاد کلان، تحلیل احساسات بازار، تکنیکال و آنچین، اتصال و مدیریت حساب صرافیها و تحلیلهای لحظهای را برای کاربران فراهم میکند.
