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راهنمای کامل معاملات Breakout

راهنمای کامل معاملات Breakout

officialjackofalltrades

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مشخصات معامله

قیمت در زمان انتشار:

۰.۰۹۶۵۹

توضیحات
اکثر معامله‌گران دنبال Breakouts می‌روند. معامله‌گران هوشمند برای Breakout مناسب صبر می‌کنند.

Breakouts می‌تواند سریع‌ترین و انفجاری‌ترین سودها را در معاملات ارائه دهد.

آنها همچنین می‌توانند سریع‌ترین و دردناک‌ترین ضررها را به همراه داشته باشند.

تفاوت بین گرفتن یک موشک و فریب خوردن چیست؟ دانستن اینکه کدام Breakouts واقعی هستند.

What Is a Breakout?

Definition:
قیمت با قاطعیت از یک سطح مشخص حمایت یا مقاومت عبور می‌کند.

Why Breakouts Matter:

Signals shift in supply/demand balance
اغلب به حرکات روندی منتهی می‌شود
Clear entry and stop placement
Momentum on your side

Types of Breakouts

1. Range Breakout

Setup:
قیمت در محدوده تثبیت می‌شود
Breaks above resistance or below support
Continuation or reversal

Psychology:
ضغط ناشی از فشردگی منجر به گشایش می‌شود. انرژی ساخته می‌شود و سپس آزاد می‌شود


2. Triangle Breakout

Types:
Ascending triangle (bullish)
Descending triangle (bearish)
Symmetrical triangle (neutral)

Psychology:
تصمیـم‌گیری تصمیم‌گیری بالا می‌رود. یکی از طرفین پیروز می‌شود.


3. Channel Breakout

Setup:
قیمت در کانال روند دارد
از کانال خارج می‌شود
شتاب روند افزایش می‌یابد

Psychology:
روند تقویت می‌شود. بازیگران جدید وارد می‌شوند.


4. Consolidation Breakout

Setup:
قیمت پس از حرکت در حال تثبیت است
در جهت روند خارج می‌شود
الگوی ادامه‌دهنده

Psychology:
برداشت سود کامل شده است. روند از سر می‌گیرد.


True Breakout vs False Breakout

True Breakout Characteristics:
Volume Surge — 50%+ above average
Strong Candle — Large body, small wicks
Follow-Through — Next candles continue direction
No Immediate Return — Doesn't quickly reverse
Momentum Confirmation — Indicators confirm

False Breakout Characteristics:
Low Volume — Below average volume
Weak Candle — Small body, large wicks
No Follow-Through — Next candles reverse
Quick Return — Price returns to range immediately
No Momentum — Indicators don't confirm


The Breakout Trading Process

Step 1: Identify the Pattern
Range, triangle, channel, or consolidation
Mark clear support and resistance
Note the timeframe

Step 2: Wait for Compression
Price tightens
Volume decreases
Volatility contracts
Energy builds

Step 3: Watch for Breakout
Price breaks key level
Volume surges
Strong candle forms

Step 4: Confirm
Wait for candle close beyond level
Check volume
Look for follow-through

Step 5: Enter
Enter on close beyond level, or
Wait for retest of broken level

Step 6: Manage
Stop below breakout level (or inside range)
Target measured move
Trail stop as profit grows


Breakout Entry Methods

Method 1: Aggressive Entry

Entry:
Enter immediately on break of level

Pros:

Catch the entire move
Best risk/reward
Don't miss fast moves

Cons:

Higher chance of false breakout
More whipsaws
Requires quick decision


Method 2: Conservative Entry (Retest)

Entry:
Wait for price to retest broken level, then enter

Pros:

Confirmation of breakout
Better entry price
Lower risk

Cons:

May miss move if no retest
Worse risk/reward
Requires patience


Method 3: Hybrid Entry

Entry:
Enter half position on break, half on retest

Pros:

Balanced approach
Catch move either way
Reduced FOMO

Cons:

More complex
Requires discipline
Average entry price


Measuring Breakout Targets

Method 1: Measured Move

Formula:
Height of pattern = Distance of move

Example:
Range from $100 to $110 (height = $10)
Breaks above $110
Target = $110 + $10 = $120


Method 2: Fibonacci Extension

Process:
Draw Fib from range low to high
Use 127.2% and 161.8% as targets
Multiple targets for scaling out


Method 3: Next Major Level

Process:
Identify next support/resistance
Use as target
More conservative


Volume Analysis for Breakouts

Volume Patterns:

During Consolidation:
Volume should decrease
Shows compression
Energy building

On Breakout:
Volume should surge (50%+ above average)
Shows conviction
Real breakout

After Breakout:
Volume should remain elevated
Shows sustained interest
Trend continuation

Red Flag:
Low volume breakout = likely false breakout


Common Breakout Patterns

1. Bull Flag

Strong move up (pole)
Consolidation down (flag)
Breakout up (continuation)
Bullish continuation

2. Bear Flag

Strong move down (pole)
Consolidation up (flag)
Breakout down (continuation)
Bearish continuation

3. Cup and Handle

Rounded bottom (cup)
Small consolidation (handle)
Breakout up
Bullish continuation

4. Ascending Triangle

Flat resistance
Rising support
Breakout up
Bullish pattern

5. Descending Triangle

Flat support
Falling resistance
Breakout down
Bearish pattern


Avoiding False Breakouts

Red Flags:

Low Volume — No conviction
News-Driven — Emotional, not structural
End of Day — Often reverses next day
Multiple Failed Attempts — Level is strong
Against Trend — Fighting the current

Confirmation Checklist:

Volume 50%+ above average?
Strong candle close beyond level?
Follow-through on next candle?
Momentum indicators confirm?
With the trend?


Breakout Trading Mistakes

Chasing — Entering too late after big move. Wait for retest or next setup.

No Stop Loss — Hoping false breakout reverses. Always use stops.

Ignoring Volume — Trading low-volume breakouts. Volume confirms conviction.

Wrong Timeframe — Trading 5-minute breakouts. Use higher timeframes.

No Target — Holding too long. Have clear profit targets.


Advanced Breakout Techniques

1. Multi-Timeframe Breakout

Daily chart shows consolidation
4H chart shows breakout
1H chart provides entry
Highest probability

2. Breakout + Retest + Continuation

Price breaks out
Retests broken level
Continues in breakout direction
Classic pattern

3. Failed Breakout Reversal

Breakout fails
Price returns to range
Trade the reversal
Often strong move opposite direction


Combining Breakouts with Other Tools

Breakouts + Moving Averages

Breakout above 200 MA = strong
MA provides dynamic support
Confluence increases probability

Breakouts + Fibonacci

Breakout at Fib extension = target
Fib retracement = retest level
Multiple tools confirm

Breakouts + Volume Profile

Breakout through HVN = significant
LVN ahead = fast move expected
POC = likely retest level


Key Takeaways

True breakouts have high volume, strong candles, and follow-through
False breakouts have low volume, weak candles, and quick reversals
Wait for confirmation before entering breakout trades
Use measured move or Fibonacci extensions for targets
Combine breakouts with other tools for highest probability


Your Turn

Do you trade breakouts?

What's your preferred entry method — aggressive, conservative, or hybrid?

How do you distinguish true breakouts from false ones?

Share your breakout trading experience below 👇

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