BTC/USD: Rebounding from Demand Targeting the $68,000 SupplyZone
VaultX_Trader
مشخصات معامله
نوع معامله:
فروش
قیمت در زمان انتشار:
۶۵,۴۸۰.۶۱
توضیحات
The current price action shows Bitcoin stabilizing near a major liquidity floor after a decisive Change of Character (Choch) and multiple Break of Structure (Bos) levels to the downside. The technical structure suggests that the immediate "drop" is finding a bottom, and a corrective move upward is anticipated.
Technical Breakdown:
The Demand Floor: Bitcoin has entered a critical Demand Zone situated just below the $64,000 level, which is expected to act as a launchpad for the next move.
Overhead Imbalances: Two significant Fair Value Gaps (FVG) are located above the current price, acting as magnets for a potential relief rally.
The Supply Target: The primary objective for this anticipated bounce is the institutional Supply Zone located near $68,000.
Recent Momentum: The price recently rejected from the $68,000 area, leading to the current descent; however, the tap into the demand zone indicates a temporary shift in order flow.
The "Fill and Drop" Strategy
The Anticipated Bounce: We expect a move from the current Demand Zone to "fill" the overhead FVGs and re-test the institutional ceiling.
The Rejection Target: Once the price reaches the $68,000 Supply Zone, we are watching for a "small rejection" that could signal the resumption of the broader bearish trend.
Key Pivot: $64,000. Maintaining this level as support is vital for the rally to the $68,000 supply zone to remain valid.
Neutral / Invalidation Dashboard
Bullish Bias (Short-term): Active while the price holds within the Demand Zone, targeting the $68,000 resistance.
Bearish Case: A failure to hold the Demand Zone would invalidate the relief rally thesis and likely lead to a deeper correction toward psychological support at $60,000.
Invalidation: A clean daily close above $68,500 would negate the supply zone rejection thesis and signal a potential trend reversal.
Final Thought: Bitcoin is currently in a "Discount" state within its local range. Following the "fill and drop" logic, we are looking for a recovery toward the $68,000 Supply Zone before evaluating the next major bearish impulse.
Technical Breakdown:
The Demand Floor: Bitcoin has entered a critical Demand Zone situated just below the $64,000 level, which is expected to act as a launchpad for the next move.
Overhead Imbalances: Two significant Fair Value Gaps (FVG) are located above the current price, acting as magnets for a potential relief rally.
The Supply Target: The primary objective for this anticipated bounce is the institutional Supply Zone located near $68,000.
Recent Momentum: The price recently rejected from the $68,000 area, leading to the current descent; however, the tap into the demand zone indicates a temporary shift in order flow.
The "Fill and Drop" Strategy
The Anticipated Bounce: We expect a move from the current Demand Zone to "fill" the overhead FVGs and re-test the institutional ceiling.
The Rejection Target: Once the price reaches the $68,000 Supply Zone, we are watching for a "small rejection" that could signal the resumption of the broader bearish trend.
Key Pivot: $64,000. Maintaining this level as support is vital for the rally to the $68,000 supply zone to remain valid.
Neutral / Invalidation Dashboard
Bullish Bias (Short-term): Active while the price holds within the Demand Zone, targeting the $68,000 resistance.
Bearish Case: A failure to hold the Demand Zone would invalidate the relief rally thesis and likely lead to a deeper correction toward psychological support at $60,000.
Invalidation: A clean daily close above $68,500 would negate the supply zone rejection thesis and signal a potential trend reversal.
Final Thought: Bitcoin is currently in a "Discount" state within its local range. Following the "fill and drop" logic, we are looking for a recovery toward the $68,000 Supply Zone before evaluating the next major bearish impulse.
منتخب سردبیر
مشاهده بیشتردستیار هوشمند ارز دیجیتال
ترمینال ترید بایتیکل نرمافزار جامع ترید و سرمایهگذاری در بازار ارز دیجیتال است و امکاناتی مانند دورههای آموزشی ترید و سرمایهگذاری، تریدینگ ویو بدون محدودیت، هوش مصنوعی استراتژی ساز ترید، کلیه دادههای بازارهای مالی شامل دادههای اقتصاد کلان، تحلیل احساسات بازار، تکنیکال و آنچین، اتصال و مدیریت حساب صرافیها و تحلیلهای لحظهای را برای کاربران فراهم میکند.
