HBAR/USDT - Falling Channel, Breakout or Bearish Continuation?

در تایم‌فریم 1D، HBAR/USDT همچنان تحت فشار نزولی میان‌مدت است. قیمت از اوج قبلی خود در داخل یک کانال نزولی / کاهشی پیوسته حرکت می‌کند که نشان می‌دهد فروشندگان همچنان بازار را در اختیار دارند.

ساختار بازار نشان می‌دهد:

سقف‌های پایین‌تر

کف‌های پایین‌تر

ردها در خط روند بالایی


در حال حاضر، قیمت در حال آزمایش مقاومت کانال همراه با یک ناحیه مقاومت افقی است و این منطقه تصمیم‌گیری حیاتی برای حرکت بعدی است.

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Pattern Explanation

The main pattern visible on the chart is a:

Falling Channel / Descending Channel

Key characteristics:

1. Two parallel downward trendlines

Upper trendline = Dynamic Resistance

Lower trendline = Dynamic Support


2. Repeated price bounces within the channel


3. Volume tends to weaken on rallies and increase on drops → distribution indication


Theoretically:

A Falling Channel can act as a bullish reversal pattern if an upside breakout occurs

Until breakout happens → it remains a bearish continuation structure

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Key Levels

Layered Resistances

0.10500 → Minor resistance / latest rejection

0.11550 → Horizontal resistance

0.13049 → Mid resistance

0.14850 → Major resistance

0.16200

0.19400 → Macro key resistance


Supports

0.08850 → Near-term support / temporary base

Channel lower trendline

0.07229 → Previous swing low / extreme support


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Bullish Scenario

Bullish confirmation requires a channel + resistance breakout.

Flow scenario:

1. Price breaks above the falling channel upper trendline


2. Daily candle closes above 0.10500


3. Successful retest turns resistance into support


Upside targets:

0.11550

0.13049

0.14850

0.16200

0.19400 (major target)


This move would likely be supported by:

Volume expansion

Broader crypto market strength

Weakening BTC dominance


A valid breakout could shift structure from bearish to sideways or bullish reversal.

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Bearish Scenario

If breakout fails, the channel remains a bearish continuation pattern.

Bearish confirmations:

1. Rejection at the upper trendline


2. Failure to hold above 0.10500


3. Breakdown below 0.08850


Downside targets:

Mid-channel support

Lower channel trendline

0.07229


If the lower support breaks → potential:

Capitulation wick

New lower low

Deeper bearish continuation

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Conclusion

HBAR/USDT is currently at a key decision zone.

Channel breakout → upside reversal potential

Rejection → continuation to the downside


As long as price remains inside the falling channel, the bias stays bearish-to-neutral.

Traders should wait for:

Breakout confirmation for long positions

Clear rejection for short positions


Key level discipline remains essential.


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