BTC Weekly Outlook

BTC remains below its 20-week MA, a level it has failed to reclaim since October 2025—keeping higher timeframe momentum bearish.

Since that breakdown, BTC corrected ~51%, bottoming near $59.8K, where prior resistance was successfully back-tested as support. Price has also continued to hold above the 200-week MA (as well as $65.5K support) —a key structural level.

However, nearly 7 months later, bulls have yet to regain control.

Last week’s move to $78K (on ceasefire news) showed strength, but failure to close above $74K confirms resistance is still being respected.

⚖️ Key Levels

A close above $74.1K = First sign of strength

Reclaim $77K (20W MA) =Momentum shift

Lose $65.5K = Bears gain control
Below $60K (200W zone) = Opens deeper downside

📉 RSI (Weekly)

Weekly RSI has recovered from oversold conditions and is now back above 40, but still below 50.

This places BTC in a bearish consolidation range
Momentum hasn’t flipped bullish yet

Bulls need strength + confirmation through key level breaks—not just wicks

CRYPTOCAP:BTC is still in a range with bearish higher time frame pressure.

Bulls need acceptance above resistance

Bears want rejection + breakdown below support

Until then: range conditions remain in play.